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Commercial Aviation in India: A Multifaceted Story

 

 
 
By Joseph Noronha Published :March 2014
 
   
   

On October 15, 1932, Jehangir Ratanji Dadabhoy Tata got airborne from Drigh Road near Karachi in a de Havilland Puss Moth, bound for the Juhu mud flats near Bombay. The 28-year-old Tata scion probably had no inkling that his uneventful flight via Ahmedabad with a small consignment of mail marked the launch of Indian commercial aviation. In later life, Tata was called the father of Indian civil aviation. The title was well-deserved for another reason – in 1929, he became the first Indian to obtain a pilot’s licence within India. From Juhu, Nevill Vintcent, a former Royal Air Force pilot, took over the controls of the small three-seat plane for the journey to Madras, via Bellary, arriving on October 16.

 

Karachi was the natural starting point of India’s first airmail run because the Imperial Airways flight carrying mail from England landed there. Tata Aviation Service began with just one DH.80A Puss Moth and one DH.85 Leopard Moth. The airline’s staff comprised a whole-time pilot assisted by Tata and Vintcent, an engineer and two mechanics. Renamed Tata Air Lines in 1938, it was heavily dependent on its government contract for carriage of surcharged mail. Passenger planes were introduced only after revenues from travellers overtook those from mail. A few other private airlines like Deccan Airways, Indian Transcontinental Airlines and Indian National Airways also commenced operations within the country.

INDEPENDENT BUT NATIONALISED

JRD Tata became the fourth chairman of the entire Tata Group in 1939. But aviation remained his dream and the airline he started his obsession. He gradually transformed it into one of the world’s most respected carriers. In July 1946, it was renamed Air-India and became a public limited company. The airline operated its first flight to London on June 8, 1948, and became the national flag carrier, Air-India International.

In the heady days following Independence, the domestic market was crowded with no less than eight carriers of varying size. Under the Air Corporations Act, 1953, Deccan Airways, Airways India, Bharat Airways, Himalayan Aviation, Kalinga Air Lines, Indian National Airways, Air-India and Air Services of India were merged to form a single domestic carrier called Indian Airlines Corporation (IAC). IAC inherited a fleet of 99 aircraft including 74 Douglas DC-3 Dakotas, 12 Vickers VC.1 Vikings, three Douglas DC-4 Skymasters and sundry smaller aircraft. It started operations on August 1, 1953, focusing primarily on domestic routes and international services to neighbouring countries. The jet age dawned for IAC with the introduction of the Sud Aviation SE-210 Caravelle in 1964.

Air-India International was also nationalised and concentrated on international routes. JRD Tata was reappointed its chairman and he remained in the post till February 1978. The carrier entered the jet age in 1960 with the Boeing 707-420. In June 1962, its name reverted to Air-India and it became the world’s first all-jet airline.

In January 1981, a regional airline, Vayudoot, was established as a joint-venture between Indian Airlines and Air India in order to serve remote airports especially in the North East. However, it never attained financial viability. It became a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indian Airlines in 1993 and merged with it in 1997.

WAVES OF PRIVATISATION

The three state-owned airlines monopolised Indian commercial aviation between 1953 and 1993. But consequent to India’s 1991 economic crisis, privatisation received fresh impetus through an ‘open skies’ policy. Within a couple of years, Continental Aviation, East-West Airlines, Damania Airways, Jagson Airlines, ModiLuft, Jet Airways and Sahara Airlines began as ‘air taxis’ before launching scheduled services. By 1995, private airlines accounted for around 10 per cent of domestic traffic and Indian Airlines began to face tough competition. However, with the government determined to protect the interests of the state-owned carriers, most of the newcomers began to buckle under fiscal and other restrictions. By 1997, only Jet Airways and Sahara Airlines were still functional.

The current wave of private airlines commenced in 2003 when Air Deccan pioneered the Low-Cost Carrier (LCC) concept in India. LCC GoAir commenced operations in 2004. ModiLuft which had ceased operations in 1996 remerged under new management as LCC SpiceJet in 2004. While Full-Service Carriers (FSC) Kingfisher Airlines and Paramount Airways were launched in 2005, LCC IndiGo took off in 2006.

Then three major mergers happened: Jet Airways with Sahara (JetLite), Kingfisher with Air Deccan (Kingfisher Red), and Air India with Indian Airlines. Subsequently, Paramount, Kingfisher and Kingfisher Red suspended operations due to heavy losses. JetLite was merged with Jet Airways’ in-house LCC JetKonnect in March 2012, allowing JetKonnect to become a separate airline.

According to the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA), “In the five years to FY2008 annual traffic tripled, surging by an incremental 29.1 million, eight times greater than in any equivalent period before.” India’s third wave of private airlines finally clicked. Private carriers now rule the roost having cornered about 80 per cent of domestic air traffic. However, neither infrastructure nor policy has kept pace with this rapid expansion.

THE RUIN OF AIR INDIA

In 2004, Air India still enjoyed over 40 per cent market share. Then the Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) decided to augment the carrier’s fleet by 68, at a crippling cost of over Rs 50,000 crore. It also elected to merge Air India and Indian Airlines, in the hope that this large carrier would compete better and also utilise the new aircraft. As part of the merger, a company called National Aviation Company of India Limited (NACIL) was established in 2007. NACIL again became Air India in October 2010. But Air India rapidly went downhill. Today, it is a pale shadow of its former self, racked by massive debts, huge losses and severe HR problems, from which there’s still no sign of recovery. It remains afloat only with massive equity infusion by the government.

RAMPING UP REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY

According to the Route Dispersal Guidelines formulated in 1994 scheduled airlines were obliged to deploy a specified percentage of their capacity on the lucrative mainline routes to connect more remote and unattractive destinations. However, while the policy forced the carriers to sustain heavy losses on unviable routes, regional connectivity did not greatly improve.

In August 2007, the MoCA introduced a comprehensive policy to promote regional airlines under which licences were given for operation of airlines within a particular region.

Only MDLR Airlines, Air Mantra and Air Costa actually got off the ground. While the first two collapsed in quick time, Air Costa seems stable enough, although it has only been in operation for a few months and it’s too early to say if it will succeed or not.

A TIME OF RECKONING

India currently has seven scheduled airlines and they carried 61.42 million domestic passengers last year. IndiGo led the pack with the highest market share, followed by Air India, SpiceJet, Jet Airways, GoAir, JetKonnect and Air Costa, in that order. IndiGo is the only convincingly profitable airline, while GoAir makes money in some quarters. Plagued by huge debts, overcapacity and mindless competition, the airline industry’s health is uncertain. According to CAPA, the industry posted a combined loss of $1.65 billion in 2012-13 and its performance in 2013-14 may not be much better. While operating costs—especially fuel and airport charges—are among the highest in the world, any attempt to raise fares scares away parsimonious passengers in droves. Yet, new airlines are queuing up to enter the market.

Following the government’s September 2012 decision to permit Foreign Direct Investment in domestic airlines, three major deals have emerged—Jet-Etihad, AirAsia India and Tata-Singapore Airlines.

While Etihad’s purchase of a minority stake in Jet Airways is expected to considerably expand both carriers’ global networks, AirAsia and Singapore Airlines are likely to shake up the domestic market. AirAsia India, a joint venture between AirAsia Bhd, Tata Sons and Telstra Tradeplace, plans to skip the busier inter-metro routes and connect smaller cities. It will strive to keep costs low and offer rock-bottom fares. LCCs like IndiGo and GoAir are expected to respond aggressively with their own cuts. Meanwhile, Tata-SIA, featuring Tata Sons and Singapore Airlines, will target the premium segment. Both new Tata carriers should become operational this year. Bangalore-based Air Pegasus also plans to commence operations in March, linking southern cities. And Air One, a charter airline, has applied for a licence to start scheduled services.

More change is in the air because a rule that mandates Indian carriers to complete five years of domestic flying and own a fleet of 20 planes to commence highly lucrative international operations is likely to be scrapped. Few will shed tears over its passing. India’s airlines need all the support they can get because generous awards of bilateral quotas have already helped foreign carriers grab market share from them. The government is also likely to allow the Airbus A380, the biggest plane in the world, to operate from Indian airports. These measures will generate fresh challenges for India’s beleaguered carriers.

India is the world’s ninth largest aviation market and projected to become the third largest by 2020. Its enormous pool of potential passengers, with growing aspirations and purchasing power, are ultimately bound to script a success story. But in the near term the pain will continue. By 2016, India’s commercial fleet may number over 1,200 aircraft and new airlines like AirAsia India, Tata-SIA and others would be firmly established. With so many carriers crowding the skies, experts believe there will be survival challenges for at least one or two outfits. How many airlines will emerge triumphant from the bruising battles of the next two or three years? If Tata-SIA or AirAsia India are among the winners it will mark a step towards the refulfilment of JRD Tata’s dream.

 
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