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India’s Ballistic Missile Defence Programme: Soaring to New Heights

 

 
 
By Air Marshal (Retd) VK Bhatia Published: May 2014
 
 
 
 
 

WITH THE successful firing on April 27 of the newly developed ‘PDV’ interceptor – an advanced version of the PAD (Prithvi Air Defence) missile – DRDO soared to new heights in India’s ambitious two-layered BMD (Ballistic Missile Defence).

 

The new PDV (Prithvi Defence Vehicle) – an improved ‘exo-atmospheric kill vehicle’ was developed to tackle hostile ballistic missiles travelling at supersonic speeds at higher altitudes to ensure minimum fallout on the ground. The test report reads:

“The earlier PAD exo-atmospheric interceptor missile had an operational envelope restricted to a maximum altitude of only 80 km while the PDV is designed to take out the target missiles at altitudes up to and even extending beyond 150 km above the Earth. However, the April 27 first test of PDV had a comparatively modest goal of 120 km set as the intercept altitude which was achieved with the target missile being successfully engaged off the Orissa coast.

The target missile in this case was launched from a ship in the Bay of Bengal and destroyed by the PDV interceptor fired from Wheeler Island. The target missile followed the same trajectory as a ballistic missile launched from 2,000 km away. The ‘hostile target’ was detected by a radar-based system that tracked its course while a PDV interceptor was prepared to destroy it. The interceptor missile with onboard inertial navigation system supported by a redundant micro navigation system swiftly moved towards the intercept point. Once the interceptor missile exited the atmosphere its heat shield opened and the infrared seeker dome opened to acquire and home on to the target, destroying it at the intended height of 120 km.”

INDIA’S BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENCE (BMD) PROGRAMME

India’s BMD programme is a DRDO initiative to develop and deploy a multi-layered ballistic missile defence system which has been in the making since 1999. Earlier, in 1995, it was rumoured that in response to Pakistan’s deployment of M-11 missiles acquired from China, the Indian Government procured six batteries of the Russian S-300 SAMs (Surface-to-Air Missiles) to protect New Delhi and other cities. This however, was never proven to be true and, with passage of time, the rumour died a natural death. On the other hand, the indigenous effort introduced in light of the ballistic missile threat from its belligerent neighbours, is very much a reality and progressing.

India’s home-made BMD programme encompasses a double-tiered system consisting of two interceptor missiles – Prithvi Air Defence (PAD) missile for high altitude interception, and the Advanced Air Defence (AAD) missile for interception at lower altitudes. Since the PAD was an air defence version of the already proven Prithvi surface-to-surface strike missile, it was the first of the two to be test-fired in November 2006. The AAD which had to be developed almost ab initio was test-fired for the first time in December 2007. But after the first firing the AAD segment of the BMD programme took off, overtaking the PAD and claiming five successes out of the six endo-atmospheric test firings done till now. On the exo-atmospheric front, to achieve the aim of intercepting enemy missiles launched from as far away as 2,000 km and for ensuring minimum fall of debris on the ground, it was necessary to modify the existing PAD missile (with an intercept ceiling of only 80 km) to enable interceptions at much higher altitudes. This resulted in the development of the PDV which, with both stages filled with solid fuel, can attain an intercept ceiling in excess of 150 km. (see the accompanying Table)

April 27 firing of the PDV was just the first test to prove the new missile. It would need another four to five tests like it has been done in the case of AAD testing before the system is declared proven and ready for operational testing and deployment with the armed forces. In other words, while the media is all ready to jump the gun by pushing India into the elite small club of only three nations – United States, Russia and China – that possess anti-ballistic systems, it would take quite some time before India can actually boast of such a capability.

Therefore, while the PDV test on April 27 is undoubtedly a major milestone that will bring India closer to putting in place a ballistic missile defence, but, to say the system was ready to be deployed to cover India’s important cities would be a bit of a fallacy at this stage.

It must also be remembered that by maturing the PDV/AAD combination in Phase 1, DRDO would be able to create capabilities against only those missiles which have ranges not exceeding 2,000 km. While this will somewhat cater to Pak threat – at least in the near and midterm – it would not be adequate against the full spectrum of Chinese IRBM threat.

DRDO is aware of these ground realities and in Phase 2 of the programme, plans to develop two new anti ballistic missiles. These high speed (hypersonic) missiles will be able to intercept ballistic missiles with a range of around 5,000 km. The new missiles (AD-1 and AD-2) will be similar to THAAD missiles deployed by the US and will require radars with scan capability of over 1,500 km to successfully intercept the target.

It may however be noted that no nation(s) that have successfully developed the ABM or BMD systems have found it easy to thereafter deploy and consistently maintain these systems for foolproof security of their entire territory – and that includes the USA as well. The same would also be applicable to India after its ambitious BMD programme reaches the intended maturity. Because of the exorbitantly high costs, it would at best be able to provide protection to only a small number of its high-value politico-strategic assets, considered to be vital for the Nation’s survival. But, contrary to some sceptical views, this very issue of national survival makes it mandatory for India to acquire the BMD capabilities, given the policies of two nuclear armed adversaries in its neighbourhood.
Finally, all BMD/ABM programmes would lose much of their relevance if all nuclear armed nations followed India’s example and accepted its recently propounded proposal of global ‘No First Use’ (NFU) till the final goal of a world, free of all nuclear weapons is achieved.

Unfortunately, there is little likelihood of that happening any time soon.

 
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